Set a target
Choose a Pools Family token, your bet, a target price, and a side: UP or DOWN.
Built for Pools Family
Predict the price.
Meet your match.
Set a target price for any Pools Family token. In 24 hours, the final price determines whether it landed above or below it.
24Hmarket window
1 : 1direct positions
PMPFecosystem token
LIVE18:42:09
PONS
Pools Family tokenCreatorUP100 USDC
ChallengerDOWN100 USDC
1:1 only
Price settled
NO AMM ✦NO LP ✦PURE CONVICTION ✦PRICE SETTLED ✦NO AMM ✦NO LP ✦PURE CONVICTION ✦PRICE SETTLED ✦
Simple by design
One market.
Two positions.
Zero ambiguity.
Get matched
Another trader takes the exact opposite prediction with an identical bet. The clock starts.
Settle in 24 hours
The final price is checked against the target automatically. Winner takes the pool.
Protocol mechanics
Trust the price,
not the crowd.
Creators define the target. Exactly 24 hours after a match, the Robinhood Chain price determines whether the result is UP or DOWN.
Whitepaper ↗Match$0.084Creator target price
24 hours
Settle$0.091Final price · UP outcome
Aligned incentives
Every match
strengthens PMPF.
A 0.6% fee is collected from creators and a 1% fee from challengers when a market is matched. 90% of collected fees are allocated to quarterly PMPF buybacks and 10% to protocol operations.
90%PMPF Buyback
10%Treasury
PoolsPredict documentation
Whitepaper v1.0
The complete PoolsPredict protocol paper.
# PoolsPredict Whitepaper v1.0 ## 24-Hour 1v1 Prediction Markets for Pools Family Tokens --- # Abstract PoolsPredict is a decentralized prediction market protocol built exclusively for Pools Family tokens on Robinhood Chain. Unlike traditional prediction markets that rely on automated market makers (AMMs), liquidity providers (LPs), or complex pricing mechanisms, PoolsPredict introduces a simple **1v1 prediction model**. Every market consists of only two participants: * A Creator * A Challenger Both participants stake the same amount while taking opposite positions on whether a token's price will be higher or lower after 24 hours. By eliminating the need for liquidity pools, PoolsPredict creates a prediction market that is simple, capital-efficient, and easy to understand. Protocol fees are used to buy back the PMPF token, directly aligning protocol usage with long-term ecosystem value. --- # Vision To become the native prediction market layer for every token launched through Pools Family. Our goal is to make creating and participating in prediction markets as simple as trading a token. --- # Problems Traditional prediction markets suffer from several structural issues. ## Liquidity Dependency Markets require liquidity providers or market makers. Without liquidity, markets become unusable. --- ## Complex Pricing AMMs often produce prices that are difficult for new users to understand. --- ## Fragmented Liquidity Liquidity is spread across countless markets, leaving many inactive. --- ## High Capital Requirements Protocols often require significant liquidity before users can trade efficiently. --- # Solution PoolsPredict removes these issues through a direct player-versus-player model. Every market consists of: * One Creator * One Challenger No LPs. No AMMs. No order books. Just two participants taking opposite positions. --- # How It Works ## Step 1 A creator selects * A Pools Family token * Stake amount * Prediction direction * UP * DOWN The market enters a **Waiting** state. --- ## Step 2 Another user joins the market. The challenger must * Stake the same amount * Take the opposite position Once matched, the market immediately becomes active. --- ## Step 3 The protocol records * Start timestamp * Robinhood Chain Oracle Price --- ## Step 4 Exactly 24 hours later, the protocol records the settlement price using the Robinhood Chain Oracle. --- ## Step 5 The winner receives the entire staking pool. --- # Market Rules Every market lasts exactly **24 Hours** Every market contains **One Creator** **One Challenger** Both users must stake the same amount. The creator cannot create a market without staking. The challenger cannot choose the same prediction side. --- # Settlement Settlement is determined solely by Robinhood Chain Oracle Price. If Final Price > Initial Price 遶翫・ UP wins If Final Price < Initial Price 遶翫・ DOWN wins If Final Price = Initial Price 遶翫・ Draw Both participants receive their remaining stake back after fees. --- # Oracle Failure If any of the following occurs: * Oracle unavailable * Oracle outage * Oracle delay * Invalid Oracle data The market becomes **Invalid** Both participants receive their remaining stake back. --- # Fees A protocol fee of **0.6% for the Creator / 1% for the Challenger** is deducted from each submitted amount when the market becomes active. Example User deposits 100 USDC 遶翫・ The Creator contributes 99.4 USDC to the staking pool, while the Challenger contributes 99 USDC. 遶翫・ The total protocol fee is 1.6 USDC. If both participants deposit 100 USDC: * Creator Stake: 99.4 USDC * Challenger Stake: 99 USDC Total Prize Pool: 198.4 USDC --- # Fee Distribution All collected protocol fees are distributed as follows: 90% 遶翫・ PMPF Buyback 10% 遶翫・ Protocol Treasury --- # PMPF Token PMPF is the native utility token of the PoolsPredict ecosystem. As protocol usage grows, more fees are collected, resulting in larger PMPF buybacks. This creates a direct relationship between protocol adoption and PMPF demand. --- # PMPF Utility PMPF is designed to evolve alongside the protocol. ## Phase 1 ### Buyback 90% of protocol fees are allocated to purchasing PMPF. Buybacks occur every quarter. --- ## Phase 2 ### Governance PMPF holders will be able to vote on protocol decisions, including: * Fee parameters * Treasury allocation * Feature proposals * Supported protocol upgrades * Community initiatives --- ## Phase 3 ### Staking Users will be able to stake PMPF to receive protocol incentives, which may include: * Staking rewards * Treasury incentives * Future ecosystem rewards --- ## Phase 4 ### Fee Discounts Holding or staking PMPF will reduce trading fees. Example structure (subject to governance): * Hold 10,000 PMPF 遶翫・10% fee discount * Hold 50,000 PMPF 遶翫・20% fee discount * Stake 100,000 PMPF 遶翫・Maximum fee discount The exact discount schedule will be determined through governance. --- # Market Lifecycle Waiting 遶翫・ Matched 遶翫・ Live 遶翫・ 24 Hours 遶翫・ Settled or Draw or Invalid --- # Roadmap ## Phase 1 * PoolsPredict Launch * Wallet Integration * Market Creation * Market Matching * Oracle Settlement * PMPF Launch * Quarterly Buybacks --- ## Phase 2 * User Profiles * Win Rate * ROI Statistics * Creator Rankings * Public Market History --- ## Phase 3 * PMPF Governance * PMPF Staking * Fee Discounts * Notification System * Mobile Support --- ## Phase 4 * Social Features * Creator Following * Reputation System * API * Ecosystem Integrations --- # Why PoolsPredict? Unlike traditional prediction markets, PoolsPredict focuses on simplicity. * No liquidity providers * No AMMs * No complex pricing curves * No fragmented liquidity Instead, every market is simply One Creator vs One Challenger with a transparent 24-hour settlement. --- # Conclusion PoolsPredict introduces a new category of decentralized prediction markets by replacing liquidity-dependent mechanisms with direct 1v1 competition. By combining: * Fixed 24-hour markets * Equal-stake competition * Oracle-based settlement * Quarterly PMPF buybacks * Future governance * Future staking * Future fee discounts PoolsPredict aims to become the default prediction market protocol for the Pools Family ecosystem while creating sustainable value for PMPF holders through long-term protocol growth.
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